Several Important Factors Affecting The Market Situation Of Stainless Steel Welded Pipes In China In 2020
Macro and industrial policies
Judging from the changes in the domestic stainless steel welded pipe market prices in recent years, the main line is the change in market prices caused by policy changes, and the trend is determined by supply and demand changes in the fundamentals. Therefore, we must pay special attention to the changes in macro, monetary, and industrial policies that affect the overall stainless steel market, including stainless steel welded pipes.
Beginning in the second half of 2019, the market's pessimistic expectations of the later macro level have put pressure on industrial product prices, but the leading indicators of some important macro data at home and abroad in September, October, and November have bottomed out, and whether the data in the first quarter of 2020 is still needed Good confirmation, coupled with changes in the market expectations of the Central Economic Work Conference in December, positive optimism for economic stability in 2020, commodity futures prices such as copper and black products represented by important industrial products bottomed out.
In 2020, we must pay special attention to changes in industrial policies. In 2019, the domestic stainless steel welded pipe industry's production capacity has increased significantly, which has become a major hidden danger for the stainless steel industry.
In 2020, the overall tone of the stainless steel welded pipe industry's production capacity control: based on the total emission control and differentiated management and control-oriented peak shift production mode, limiting the production of backward environmental protection companies, protecting the enthusiasm of advanced enterprises, and promoting overall environmental protection Improve the level and do a good job in the "defense of the blue sky" consolidation year. It is expected that related industrial policies will be introduced later, which will bring about changes in the actual output brought about by the control of stainless steel pipe production capacity and output.
The demand for stainless steel welded pipes accounts for a relatively large portion of the top developers in the real estate industry. The willingness of the real estate development process and the actual availability of real estate and infrastructure funds
At present, the land reserve of the real estate industry still has a construction period of two or three years according to the development area in 2019. In 2020, especially in the second half of the year, real estate starts, construction progress and capital turnover will affect the continued strength of demand for stainless steel welded pipes.
The two main bodies of demand for stainless steel welded pipes, real estate and infrastructure, their funding status is an important variable affecting the price change of stainless steel welded pipes.
Changes in the current market
In recent years, the correlation between the futures market and the spot market has become more and more, and most of the time, it has shown a "same rise and fall" trend. In 2020, due to the further expansion of the scale of futures investment companies, the futures market will be more interactive and more direct, which will also increase the frequency and amplitude of fluctuations in stainless steel welded pipe prices. In short, the impact of the “futures and spot interaction” effect on the market price of stainless steel welded pipes in 2020 requires the attention of steel traders.