{"id":35056,"date":"2022-04-03T08:55:58","date_gmt":"2022-04-03T08:55:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kaysuns.com\/china-steel-exports-fall-for-second-month-in-two-successive-months\/"},"modified":"2022-06-30T08:27:49","modified_gmt":"2022-06-30T08:27:49","slug":"exportacoes-de-aco-da-china-caem-pelo-segundo-mes-em-dois-meses-consecutivos","status":"publish","type":"blog","link":"https:\/\/www.kaysuns.com\/pt\/blog\/exportacoes-de-aco-da-china-caem-pelo-segundo-mes-em-dois-meses-consecutivos\/","title":{"rendered":"Exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de a\u00e7o da China caem pelo segundo m\u00eas em dois meses consecutivos"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de a\u00e7o da China caem pelo segundo m\u00eas consecutivo<\/h2>\n

\"161014145011\"

As exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de a\u00e7o da China ca\u00edram acentuadamente pelo segundo m\u00eas consecutivo em setembro, uma tend\u00eancia de baixa que deve ser bem recebida por rivais globais, que reclamaram do excesso de suprimentos do maior produtor mundial do metal.<\/p>\n

As exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de a\u00e7o da China ca\u00edram 22% ano a ano durante o m\u00eas, para 8,80 milh\u00f5es de toneladas, enquanto as importa\u00e7\u00f5es de cobre ca\u00edram 26% no ano para 340.000 toneladas. Apesar do blip, as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos de a\u00e7o no per\u00edodo de janeiro a setembro ainda subiram 2,4% no comparativo anual.<\/p>\n

Analistas dizem que pode ser muito cedo para interpretar a tend\u00eancia como uma mudan\u00e7a fundamental na oferta e na demanda.<\/p>\n

A queda nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es provavelmente resultou de interrup\u00e7\u00f5es tempor\u00e1rias de produ\u00e7\u00e3o para limpar o ambiente antes de eventos internacionais, como a c\u00fapula do G-20 no m\u00eas passado, bem como uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o dom\u00e9stica na demanda por im\u00f3veis, disseram analistas.<\/p>\n

As importa\u00e7\u00f5es de min\u00e9rio de ferro aumentaram 8% durante o m\u00eas, mantendo uma tend\u00eancia de alta \u00e0 medida que a produ\u00e7\u00e3o dom\u00e9stica do material sider\u00fargico diminuiu em meio \u00e0 falta de competitividade contra grandes produtores internacionais e uma restri\u00e7\u00e3o antipolui\u00e7\u00e3o. As importa\u00e7\u00f5es de petr\u00f3leo bruto tamb\u00e9m subiram para o n\u00edvel mais alto este ano em setembro.<\/p>\n

\u201cDevido a uma s\u00e9rie de exposi\u00e7\u00f5es e f\u00f3runs internacionais realizados na China este ano, as restri\u00e7\u00f5es ambientais tempor\u00e1rias aos produtores de a\u00e7o resultaram em algum aperto na oferta\u201d, disse Laura Zhai, diretora da Asia-Pacific Corporates, Fitch Ratings. \u201cAssim que essas restri\u00e7\u00f5es forem suspensas, a oferta aumentar\u00e1, pois a maioria dos produtores ser\u00e1 lucrativa com os pre\u00e7os atuais.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00c0 medida que a economia da China desacelerou, seu excesso de capacidade foi cada vez mais levado para o exterior. Os fabricantes europeus e norte-americanos apresentaram in\u00fameras reclama\u00e7\u00f5es nos \u00faltimos anos, alegando que seus concorrentes chineses est\u00e3o exportando produtos de a\u00e7o a pre\u00e7os injustamente baixos.<\/p>\n

Os l\u00edderes mundiais concordaram durante o ver\u00e3o que a superprodu\u00e7\u00e3o de a\u00e7o \u00e9 um problema global e endossaram a cria\u00e7\u00e3o de um organismo internacional para monitor\u00e1-lo.<\/p>\n

A China respondeu prometendo cortar de 100 milh\u00f5es a 150 milh\u00f5es de toneladas de capacidade de a\u00e7o nos pr\u00f3ximos anos. Mas com a China respondendo por quase 50% da produ\u00e7\u00e3o global, o corte de capacidade remover\u00e1 apenas um ter\u00e7o de seu excesso de produ\u00e7\u00e3o. Quase um quarto da capacidade anual de a\u00e7o estimada da China \u00e9 excedente.<\/p>\n

A produ\u00e7\u00e3o de a\u00e7o da China caiu 2,3% para 804 milh\u00f5es de toneladas no ano passado, que foi a primeira queda desde 1981 - apenas cinco anos ap\u00f3s a morte do l\u00edder comunista Mao Zedong - no maior produtor de a\u00e7o do mundo. O consenso entre os analistas era que a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de a\u00e7o cairia novamente assim no ano em 2,5-5%, mas na verdade a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de janeiro a agosto de cerca de 537 milh\u00f5es de toneladas m\u00e9tricas est\u00e1 praticamente est\u00e1vel ano a ano.<\/p>\n

As sider\u00fargicas chinesas reativaram as capacidades ociosas \u00e0 medida que os pre\u00e7os subiram este ano devido \u00e0 melhora na demanda por im\u00f3veis e \u00e0s medidas de est\u00edmulo do governo para infraestrutura. Mas essa demanda se deparou com ventos contr\u00e1rios, j\u00e1 que v\u00e1rias cidades chinesas impuseram medidas para esfriar o mercado.<\/p>\n

At\u00e9 o momento, cerca de 21 cidades chinesas impuseram restri\u00e7\u00f5es ao mercado imobili\u00e1rio. \u201cEspero que isso se amplie, mas o momento \u00e9 dif\u00edcil de dizer\u201d, disse Su Aik Lim, diretor s\u00eanior da Asia-Pacific Corporates, Fitch Ratings.<\/p>\n

Poucos acreditam que o excesso de oferta se dissiparia em breve e sustentaria uma alta nos pre\u00e7os do a\u00e7o.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00c9 improv\u00e1vel que vejamos uma forte alta nos pre\u00e7os do a\u00e7o. Pode haver alguma fraqueza no pre\u00e7o do a\u00e7o ainda, especialmente se [o] setor de constru\u00e7\u00e3o residencial desacelerar novamente \u201d, disse Rajiv Biswas, economista da IHS de Cingapura.<\/p>\n

Por BIMAN MUKHERJI<\/p>\n

Coletado por acess\u00f3rios para tubos de solda de topo<\/a> Kaysuns.com<\/p>\n

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